I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Hyland Arena · December 14, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LIN -0.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money LIN -110 / IUIN -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual LIN +18 144 Won
Massey LIN -1.5 (+16.5)
Massey Totals 143.3 (+0.7)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 77%
Baseline Plus ML LIN -1.5 (+16.5) 139.9 (+4.1) 49%
Baseline ML LIN -1.5 (+16.5) 141.5 (+2.5) 48%
Baseline Tuned ML LIN -1.7 (+16.3) 141.3 (+2.7) 53%
Efficiency Plus ML LIN -2.5 (+15.5) 142.0 (+2.0) 57%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 16, 2023 LIN 7367 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN IUIN
Overall 16-17 10-22
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 11-3 6-8
Away 3-12 4-12
Neutral 2-2 0-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.3 72.4
Avg Pts Against 74.2 79.7
Massey -10.7 (#334) -7.8 (#299)
Bradley-Terry -1.44 (#295) -2.52 (#344)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.97 (#332) -3.23 (#340)
RPI 0.455 (#248) 0.382 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN IUIN
FG% 38.6% 41.0%
3PT% 24.5% 34.5%
REB / G 33.3 31.7
OREB / G 11.6 9.7
AST / TO 0.66 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.2% 49.7%
TOV% 18.8% 18.3%
ORB% 29.5% 28.0%
FT Rate 19.2% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.4% 57.3%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 15.6%
DRB% 66.7% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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