Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +1100 JMU -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +17 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -17.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -13.1 (-3.9) | 162.5 (-3.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -11.9 (-5.1) | 162.4 (-3.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -14.6 (-2.4) | 163.5 (-4.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -15.4 (-1.6) | 162.8 (-3.8) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2022 | JMU 106 – 58 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#338) | 10.5 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#339) | 3.33 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#337) | 4.49 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#359) | 0.622 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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