Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -188 TXST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -5.9 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -5.2 (-18.2) | 135.4 (-2.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -4.2 (-17.2) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -4.5 (-17.5) | 132.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -4.8 (-17.8) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | SHSU 69 – 62 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#191) | -2.1 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#191) | -0.15 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#202) | -0.04 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#173) | 0.511 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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