They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–13 on winners spread MAE 9.9 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Mary's @ UNLV -3.7 133.2 37% 69–67 ✓
Charlotte @ Richmond +6.2 136.9 70% 56–64 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Marshall -0.6 150.7 44% 65–72 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Wichita State +3.5 141.5 68% 68–69 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Iona -8.2 134.9 23% 83–58 ✓
Dayton @ Cincinnati +3.7 141.7 63% 82–68 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Purdue Fort Wayne +14.9 150.9 88% 63–86 ✓
California @ Ole Miss +5.7 142.4 70% 78–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas Tech +12.4 141.1 84% 54–76 ✓
Winthrop @ Xavier +10.1 151.2 81% 59–75 ✓
Alabama @ Creighton +6.4 163.5 72% 82–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Saint Louis -5.4 137.4 25% 74–75 ✗
California Baptist @ UC Riverside -0.7 134.1 49% 70–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Alabama A&M -5.9 152.6 28% 88–72 ✓
SMU @ Florida State +2.5 139.1 60% 68–57 ✗
Green Bay @ Oklahoma +18.2 136.4 90% 47–81 ✓
Georgia State @ BYU +23.9 151.5 91% 54–86 ✓
Weber State @ Wyoming +2.5 132.4 59% 84–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Utah Tech +9.9 138.4 81% 79–62 ✗
Portland @ Grand Canyon +10.5 149.9 83% 63–91 ✓
Texas Southern @ North Carolina A&T -7.1 138.2 22% 79–85 ✗
NC State @ Tennessee +5.0 144.2 68% 70–79 ✓
Arizona State @ TCU +5.4 147.5 70% 59–79 ✓
South Dakota @ UC Irvine +13.8 145.4 87% 78–121 ✓
Jackson State @ Howard +2.6 150.7 59% 81–74 ✗
Colgate @ Illinois +15.1 139.4 88% 57–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Oregon +2.7 146.6 60% 83–63 ✗
Stony Brook @ Army -2.0 131.9 38% 78–74 ✓
USC @ Auburn +13.4 150.8 86% 75–91 ✓
Alcorn State @ Northern Iowa +15.5 154.8 88% 82–100 ✓
Stetson @ Omaha +2.0 140.8 56% 80–88 ✓
Pepperdine @ Louisville +1.1 144.7 51% 63–85 ✓
Wagner @ Fairfield +6.8 132.4 75% 51–63 ✓
VMI @ Longwood +18.6 137.0 89% 49–68 ✓
Hartford @ Stonehill — — — 44–71 —
UTSA @ Oregon State +7.1 149.9 76% 65–66 ✓
Nebraska @ Kansas State +6.6 149.9 74% 62–46 ✗
UTEP @ Abilene Christian +2.7 137.0 67% 82–88 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Boise State +11.8 132.2 86% 65–88 ✓
North Texas @ Mississippi State +5.0 130.2 69% 54–72 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky -1.3 138.9 44% 85–75 ✓
North Dakota State @ Illinois State +2.9 133.9 63% 65–75 ✓
Louisiana @ McNeese +12.6 139.2 87% 72–74 ✓
Montana @ San José State +5.5 139.4 69% 86–75 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +7.6 144.3 75% 60–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ Missouri +1.8 137.6 58% 93–87 ✗
Idaho @ Stanford +7.5 144.9 77% 64–82 ✓
Howard @ Texas Southern -3.4 141.8 37% 78–79 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa State +25.2 140.0 91% 58–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.