Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | MCN -292 UL +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -14.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -13.7 (-11.7) | 137.3 (+8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -8.1 (-6.1) | 136.2 (+9.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -12.6 (-10.6) | 139.2 (+6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.7 (-10.7) | 140.2 (+5.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | MCN 88 – 62 UL |
| Dec 22, 2024 | MCN 64 – 56 UL |
| Dec 16, 2022 | UL 78 – 70 MCN |
| Dec 9, 2021 | UL 83 – 68 MCN |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UL 75 – 65 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#47) | 0.3 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#42) | 0.39 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#43) | 0.67 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#31) | 0.501 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 11.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 59.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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