Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -3000 UL +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -21.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -10.8 (+15.2) | 135.0 (+15.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -11.5 (+14.5) | 131.5 (+18.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -9.6 (+16.4) | 129.1 (+20.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | MCN 64 – 56 UL |
| Dec 17, 2023 | MCN 74 – 72 UL |
| Dec 16, 2022 | UL 78 – 70 MCN |
| Dec 9, 2021 | UL 83 – 68 MCN |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UL 75 – 65 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 19-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-0 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | -7.7 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#185) | -1.13 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#179) | -1.48 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#17) | 0.398 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 43.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 42.3% |
Game Analysis
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