Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -36.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +38 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -38.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -28.6 (+9.4) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -25.2 (+12.8) | 140.0 (+14.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -30.9 (+7.1) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -31.9 (+6.1) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-0 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#3) | -11.0 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#78) | -0.46 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#74) | -0.62 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#124) | 0.530 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.