Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +110 STET -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -3.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -2.3 (+5.7) | 137.7 (+30.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -2.5 (+5.5) | 141.7 (+26.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -2.0 (+6.0) | 140.8 (+27.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -0.5 (+7.5) | 139.0 (+29.0) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | OMA 79 – 76 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#269) | -3.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#323) | 0.24 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#309) | -0.71 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#326) | 0.535 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.