Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -155 HALL +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +6 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -0.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+46.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -0.8 (-6.8) | 136.8 (+43.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -1.8 (-7.8) | 137.6 (+42.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -1.8 (-7.8) | 137.4 (+42.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -1.7 (-7.7) | 138.1 (+41.9) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 17-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L19 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#104) | 4.4 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#70) | 0.08 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#50) | 0.13 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#110) | 0.514 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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