Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UCR +140 CBU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -1.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -1.2 (+0.2) | 133.7 (+5.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CBU -1.6 (+0.6) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CBU -0.7 (-0.3) | 134.1 (+4.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.9 (-0.1) | 134.0 (+5.0) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | CBU 80 – 57 UCR |
| Nov 13, 2024 | UCR 70 – 69 CBU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | CBU 65 – 60 UCR |
| Dec 13, 2021 | UCR 70 – 54 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#273) | 1.1 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#236) | 0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#215) | 0.36 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#236) | 0.468 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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