Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -7.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -4.4 (+11.6) | 136.3 (-12.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -6.4 (+9.6) | 129.9 (-5.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -4.4 (+11.6) | 132.3 (-8.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -4.0 (+12.0) | 135.7 (-11.7) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | CBU 80 – 57 UCR |
| Nov 13, 2024 | UCR 70 – 69 CBU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | CBU 70 – 69 UCR |
| Dec 1, 2022 | CBU 65 – 60 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#149) | -1.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#129) | 1.68 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#129) | 2.11 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#164) | 0.547 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.