Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -1200 UCR +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -15.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -12.0 (+11.0) | 142.0 (-5.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -10.0 (+13.0) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -16.8 (+6.2) | 141.3 (-4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -13.8 (+9.2) | 142.3 (-5.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | UCR 70 – 69 CBU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | CBU 70 – 69 UCR |
| Dec 1, 2022 | CBU 65 – 60 UCR |
| Dec 13, 2021 | UCR 70 – 54 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-0 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#115) | -4.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#29) | -1.20 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#41) | -1.24 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#55) | 0.367 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 47.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.7 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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