Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.0 Over |
| Money | CREI -292 ALA +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -4.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -6.3 (-3.3) | 161.5 (+5.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -5.7 (-2.7) | 161.6 (+5.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -6.4 (-3.4) | 163.5 (+3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -5.2 (-2.2) | 165.6 (+1.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | ALA 83 – 75 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 90.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#8) | 17.7 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#61) | 1.93 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#64) | 2.81 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#51) | 0.635 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 34.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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