Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -800 CREI +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -14.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -13.2 (-5.2) | 159.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -13.7 (-5.7) | 159.0 (-1.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -12.3 (-4.3) | 159.7 (-1.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -12.3 (-4.3) | 162.8 (-4.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | CREI 85 – 82 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#10) | 8.5 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#16) | 1.48 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.58 (#14) | 2.34 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.699 (#6) | 0.548 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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