Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -188 SIU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -3.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.1 (-2.1) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -3.5 (-2.5) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -3.5 (-2.5) | 141.6 (-4.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.7 (-2.7) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#111) | 5.4 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#124) | -0.00 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#123) | 0.45 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#106) | 0.514 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 44.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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