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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 5.6
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington
@
Seattle U
|
+1.0 | 147.5 | 53% | 100–99 | ✗ |
North Carolina A&T
@
Jackson State
|
+7.7 | 151.8 | 79% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Nevada
@
Hawai'i
|
+0.6 | 141.9 | 57% | 72–66 | ✗ |
UL Monroe
@
Jacksonville
|
+3.4 | 141.5 | 66% | 65–75 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
UNC Asheville
|
+10.7 | 149.0 | 84% | 75–79 | ✓ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Charleston
|
+14.5 | 151.9 | 88% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.