Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | UNCA -1000 SCST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -12.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -12.3 (-8.3) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -10.7 (-6.7) | 149.0 (+5.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -11.0 (-7.0) | 149.4 (+4.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -10.7 (-6.7) | 150.3 (+3.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2022 | UNCA 94 – 84 SCST |
| Dec 5, 2020 | UNCA 77 – 56 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 9-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#265) | -13.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#197) | -2.17 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#197) | -3.30 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#176) | 0.398 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 16.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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