Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | SEA +178 WASH -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +1 | 199 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -2.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+47.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.0 (-2.0) | 151.0 (+48.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.4 (-0.6) | 148.8 (+50.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.0 (-2.0) | 147.5 (+51.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.3 (-2.3) | 150.5 (+48.5) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEA 70 – 66 WASH |
| Dec 24, 2024 | SEA 79 – 70 WASH |
| Nov 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 66 SEA |
| Dec 19, 2021 | WASH 64 – 56 SEA |
| Dec 10, 2020 | WASH 73 – 41 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#107) | 11.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#185) | 1.21 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#165) | 1.86 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#210) | 0.575 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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