Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -1.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.9 (+7.1) | 149.4 (-29.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -3.0 (+5.0) | 146.5 (-26.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -2.0 (+6.0) | 147.0 (-27.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.1 (+6.9) | 149.9 (-29.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEA 70 – 66 WASH |
| Dec 24, 2024 | SEA 79 – 70 WASH |
| Dec 18, 2023 | WASH 100 – 99 SEA |
| Nov 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 66 SEA |
| Dec 10, 2020 | WASH 73 – 41 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#227) | -0.1 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#211) | -0.48 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#213) | -0.46 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#242) | 0.427 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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