Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -200 SEA +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -6.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.9 (+13.9) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -4.7 (+15.7) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.1 (+13.1) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.5 (+13.5) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEA 70 – 66 WASH |
| Dec 24, 2024 | SEA 79 – 70 WASH |
| Dec 18, 2023 | WASH 100 – 99 SEA |
| Dec 19, 2021 | WASH 64 – 56 SEA |
| Dec 10, 2020 | WASH 73 – 41 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#192) | 12.3 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#111) | 3.22 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#160) | 5.06 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#127) | 0.637 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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