Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -900 SEA +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +32 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -0.4 (+32.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -0.9 (+32.9) | 130.9 (-16.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.5 (+33.5) | 131.0 (-17.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.7 (+32.7) | 130.1 (-16.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.3 (+33.3) | 130.8 (-16.8) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEA 70 – 66 WASH |
| Dec 24, 2024 | SEA 79 – 70 WASH |
| Dec 18, 2023 | WASH 100 – 99 SEA |
| Nov 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 66 SEA |
| Dec 19, 2021 | WASH 64 – 56 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 4-5 |
| Home | 4-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#257) | 0.3 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#240) | 0.28 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#253) | 0.25 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#148) | 0.503 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.9% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 18.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.4% | 13.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 56.9% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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