Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +260 WASH -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -2.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.2 (+3.8) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -1.9 (+5.9) | 143.0 (-7.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.1 (+2.9) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.3 (+2.7) | 142.9 (-6.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 24, 2024 | SEA 79 – 70 WASH |
| Dec 18, 2023 | WASH 100 – 99 SEA |
| Nov 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 66 SEA |
| Dec 19, 2021 | WASH 64 – 56 SEA |
| Dec 10, 2020 | WASH 73 – 41 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#115) | 10.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#106) | 2.03 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#93) | 3.27 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#157) | 0.563 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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