Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -900 SEA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +9 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -8.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.8 (-16.8) | 144.4 (+4.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -7.6 (-16.6) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.1 (-16.1) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -8.3 (-17.3) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEA 70 – 66 WASH |
| Dec 18, 2023 | WASH 100 – 99 SEA |
| Nov 29, 2022 | WASH 77 – 66 SEA |
| Dec 19, 2021 | WASH 64 – 56 SEA |
| Dec 10, 2020 | WASH 73 – 41 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#100) | 0.1 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#71) | -0.75 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#78) | -0.67 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#42) | 0.487 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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