Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | HOW -172 JKST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -4.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -3.0 (-10.0) | 148.4 (+6.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -2.6 (-9.6) | 150.7 (+4.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -1.7 (-8.7) | 150.0 (+5.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -2.2 (-9.2) | 151.2 (+3.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#196) | -6.0 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#231) | -0.07 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#205) | -0.85 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#199) | 0.536 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.