Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -145 WEB +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +13 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -0.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -1.6 (-14.6) | 133.7 (+21.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -2.5 (-15.5) | 132.4 (+22.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.3 (-15.3) | 133.1 (+21.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -0.6 (-13.6) | 132.6 (+22.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#198) | 2.8 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#127) | 0.32 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#143) | 0.98 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#140) | 0.485 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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