Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | TTU -350 VAN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +22 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -14.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -11.0 (+11.0) | 141.0 (-11.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -12.4 (+9.6) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -12.8 (+9.2) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -12.5 (+9.5) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-10 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#65) | -7.2 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#77) | -0.96 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#71) | -1.47 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#94) | 0.453 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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