Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -1200 BCU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +23 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -18.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -15.9 (+7.1) | 152.2 (-3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -15.9 (+7.1) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -14.9 (+8.1) | 150.9 (-1.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -14.2 (+8.8) | 152.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | PFW 91 – 69 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#91) | -7.9 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#25) | -1.27 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#30) | -1.87 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#72) | 0.425 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 25.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 41.4% |
Game Analysis
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