Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -170 NDSU +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -3.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -3.1 (+6.9) | 133.2 (+6.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -2.8 (+7.2) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -2.9 (+7.1) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -2.7 (+7.3) | 133.1 (+6.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | ILST 77 – 68 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#224) | -1.8 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#197) | 0.16 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#185) | -0.10 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#211) | 0.528 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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