Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -154 CLEM +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -1.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -3.1 (-1.1) | 149.0 (+7.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -2.4 (-0.4) | 149.2 (+6.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.2 (-0.2) | 148.8 (+7.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -3.4 (-1.4) | 149.0 (+7.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | MEM 87 – 82 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#43) | 12.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#17) | 4.68 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#18) | 6.52 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#7) | 0.731 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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