Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -250 MEM +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +5 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -8.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -8.6 (-13.6) | 140.6 (+28.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -7.6 (-12.6) | 141.2 (+27.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -7.9 (-12.9) | 140.2 (+28.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -7.9 (-12.9) | 140.2 (+28.8) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MEM 79 – 77 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 16-2 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#22) | 11.1 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#17) | 2.88 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#23) | 3.59 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#17) | 0.702 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 43.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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