Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -110 EVAN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | EVAN -0.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -0.4 (-9.4) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -1.1 (-7.9) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -0.8 (-8.2) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -0.3 (-8.7) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | EVAN 73 – 61 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#235) | 2.3 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#285) | 1.45 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#267) | 1.50 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#252) | 0.611 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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