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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State
@
Wisconsin
|
+17.1 | 133.9 | 89% | 60–75 | ✓ |
Furman
@
Tulane
|
+6.7 | 162.5 | 76% | 110–117 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Charleston
|
+7.1 | 140.9 | 76% | 71–86 | ✓ |
East Carolina
@
Florida
|
+11.7 | 150.3 | 85% | 65–70 | ✓ |
St. Thomas-Minnesota
@
Marquette
|
+18.2 | 136.0 | 90% | 79–84 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
Drake
|
+22.0 | 141.7 | 91% | 56–68 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
Lamar
|
+4.1 | 143.3 | 65% | 73–97 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.