Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | DRKE -4500 GRAM +1550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -25.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -18.9 (-6.9) | 138.3 (-14.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -22.0 (-10.0) | 141.7 (-17.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -25.1 (-13.1) | 140.8 (-16.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -23.8 (-11.8) | 139.3 (-15.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-0 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#59) | -13.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#25) | -2.93 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#38) | -4.04 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#19) | 0.405 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 24.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 60.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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