Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | COFC -1000 CIT +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -7.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.7 (+8.3) | 138.8 (+18.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -11.2 (+3.8) | 140.2 (+16.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -7.1 (+7.9) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.2 (+7.8) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | COFC 82 – 78 CIT |
| Nov 20, 2024 | COFC 76 – 61 CIT |
| Dec 3, 2022 | COFC 79 – 57 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-2 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#147) | -0.7 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#113) | -1.11 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#114) | -1.96 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#79) | 0.434 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.