Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +550 COFC -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -2.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -1.9 (-16.9) | 147.5 (-10.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COFC -0.3 (-14.7) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CIT -1.6 (-16.6) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -2.3 (-17.3) | 147.0 (-10.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | COFC 82 – 78 CIT |
| Dec 15, 2023 | COFC 86 – 71 CIT |
| Dec 3, 2022 | COFC 79 – 57 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-12 | 13-2 |
| Away | 0-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L24 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#217) | 2.2 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#321) | 0.83 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#312) | 0.97 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.318 (#336) | 0.609 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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