Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -1800 CIT +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -17.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -13.2 (-9.2) | 138.3 (+21.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COFC -15.7 (-11.7) | 138.4 (+21.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | COFC -13.2 (-9.2) | 139.2 (+20.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -14.1 (-10.1) | 141.2 (+18.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | COFC 76 – 61 CIT |
| Dec 15, 2023 | COFC 86 – 71 CIT |
| Dec 3, 2022 | COFC 79 – 57 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#192) | -15.4 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#219) | -4.18 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#203) | -5.74 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#221) | 0.319 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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