Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -800 UALB +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +19 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -9.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -7.4 (+11.6) | 137.0 (-14.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -7.1 (+11.9) | 137.0 (-14.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -6.2 (+12.8) | 135.1 (-12.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -8.2 (+10.8) | 135.6 (-12.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | DREX 77 – 70 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#125) | -1.8 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | 0.23 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | -0.01 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#140) | 0.510 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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