Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UPST +188 WCU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +17 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -3.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.0 (-14.0) | 144.2 (-21.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -3.9 (-13.1) | 141.7 (-18.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -2.1 (-14.9) | 144.1 (-21.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -3.0 (-14.0) | 143.9 (-20.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | UPST 78 – 67 WCU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UPST 74 – 68 WCU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | UPST 79 – 64 WCU |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WCU 78 – 73 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#292) | 1.9 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#282) | 1.32 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#291) | 1.21 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#233) | 0.555 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.