Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–17 on winners spread MAE 8.0 72 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -2.2 134.2 36% 72–65 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +2.7 142.6 54% 86–76 ✗
Texas State @ Sam Houston +4.5 132.7 70% 73–60 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +22.7 156.3 90% 68–90 ✓
Cleveland State @ Bradley +7.5 141.9 74% 76–69 ✗
New Mexico @ New Mexico State -14.4 156.0 14% 73–72 ✓
UConn @ Gonzaga -3.4 147.0 35% 76–63 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State +6.8 138.4 74% 58–61 ✓
Portland State @ San Diego +0.1 141.1 52% 65–69 ✓
LSU @ Texas +6.1 139.4 69% 85–96 ✓
La Salle @ Miami +14.3 155.1 87% 77–84 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Penn State +1.0 139.6 52% 82–81 ✗
Lindenwood @ IU Indianapolis -0.9 139.8 30% 73–67 ✓
Kansas @ Indiana -2.6 144.7 41% 75–71 ✓
NJIT @ Niagara +3.9 144.9 71% 81–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Rutgers +20.4 133.7 90% 61–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Providence +21.5 136.8 90% 64–78 ✓
Indiana State @ Ball State -15.0 147.2 13% 83–72 ✓
Baylor @ Michigan State -5.5 142.2 32% 64–88 ✗
James Madison @ Hampton -14.6 163.5 14% 88–71 ✓
Dartmouth @ Le Moyne +0.9 135.1 56% 54–80 ✓
Southern @ Tulane +9.2 156.2 82% 81–105 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Mercer +4.4 135.8 67% 65–70 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hofstra +10.9 143.6 83% 58–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Presbyterian +2.0 153.6 61% 94–84 ✗
Towson @ Bryant -1.1 131.8 45% 93–101 ✗
Rider @ Monmouth +11.2 141.6 83% 71–77 ✓
UAlbany @ Drexel +7.1 137.0 75% 52–71 ✓
Kansas City @ Bowling Green +6.6 141.5 75% 69–79 ✓
Washington State @ Santa Clara -10.0 146.9 21% 61–69 ✗
Western Michigan @ UIC +13.2 132.5 86% 68–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Pittsburgh +26.0 151.4 91% 50–86 ✓
Temple @ VCU +7.9 145.8 78% 78–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Notre Dame +4.3 136.3 67% 72–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Houston +7.9 131.6 72% 66–70 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan +18.5 147.6 89% 66–83 ✓
Clemson @ Memphis +2.4 149.2 66% 77–79 ✓
Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky +8.9 132.4 80% 64–65 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Georgia Southern -9.2 143.3 23% 82–77 ✓
Rice @ Northwestern State -5.3 142.8 26% 76–51 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State +5.8 137.5 73% 60–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Tulsa +1.8 143.3 57% 72–73 ✓
Belmont @ Samford +5.4 161.1 73% 93–99 ✓
Radford @ Bucknell -1.2 135.8 45% 70–63 ✓
Fordham @ St. John's +13.5 147.2 87% 55–77 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ St. Bonaventure -7.4 148.4 22% 64–54 ✓
San Francisco @ Utah State +1.7 139.7 56% 53–54 ✓
Chicago State @ Valparaiso +4.5 132.5 64% 63–62 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Murray State +10.9 143.5 82% 61–55 ✗
Evansville @ Bellarmine -0.8 142.6 50% 70–61 ✓
North Alabama @ Tennessee Tech -0.0 145.6 51% 67–70 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah +12.6 141.3 87% 62–76 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona +4.3 146.9 65% 74–76 ✓
Vermont @ Virginia Tech +9.5 137.2 78% 51–73 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ App State +7.7 138.9 76% 59–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ South Florida +3.1 140.7 64% 64–77 ✓
Arizona @ Purdue -2.6 158.6 45% 84–92 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa +19.4 148.5 90% 52–88 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Loyola Marymount +2.5 144.0 58% 68–59 ✗
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate -3.0 143.9 41% 70–53 ✓
Central Connecticut @ UMass Lowell +12.1 142.6 83% 57–54 ✗
Air Force @ UT Arlington -1.9 132.4 44% 73–76 ✗
UC Davis @ Pacific -2.8 136.9 32% 82–61 ✓
Rhode Island @ Delaware +6.1 144.1 70% 56–67 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky -0.1 164.7 55% 83–87 ✗
Northwestern @ DePaul -3.8 145.6 36% 56–46 ✓
High Point @ Georgia +3.8 149.7 68% 58–66 ✓
Northeastern @ Virginia +16.3 131.1 87% 54–56 ✓
Lipscomb @ Arkansas +1.4 149.1 55% 66–69 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +24.6 135.7 91% 69–73 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ George Mason +18.6 139.5 89% 54–62 ✓
West Virginia @ Massachusetts +4.6 142.7 73% 79–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.