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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–0 on winners
spread MAE 9.6
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State
@
Wisconsin
|
+18.0 | 132.9 | 88% | 60–75 | ✓ |
Furman
@
Tulane
|
+8.1 | 166.5 | 80% | 110–117 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Charleston
|
+7.2 | 139.8 | 74% | 71–86 | ✓ |
East Carolina
@
Florida
|
+12.8 | 151.6 | 83% | 65–70 | ✓ |
St. Thomas
@
Marquette
|
+19.6 | 136.2 | 90% | 79–84 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
Drake
|
+25.1 | 140.8 | 91% | 56–68 | ✓ |
UL Monroe
@
Lamar
|
+4.5 | 144.1 | 64% | 73–97 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.