Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–12 on winners spread MAE 9.8 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Mary's @ UNLV -4.0 134.5 34% 69–67 ✓
Charlotte @ Richmond +5.8 138.0 72% 56–64 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Marshall +0.0 152.3 51% 65–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Wichita State +3.5 141.6 72% 68–69 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Iona -6.8 134.9 25% 83–58 ✓
Dayton @ Cincinnati +2.8 143.2 63% 82–68 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Purdue Fort Wayne +15.9 150.8 87% 63–86 ✓
California @ Ole Miss +4.3 143.3 70% 78–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas Tech +12.8 143.4 82% 54–76 ✓
Winthrop @ Xavier +10.4 152.3 82% 59–75 ✓
Alabama @ Creighton +5.7 161.6 80% 82–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Saint Louis -5.4 136.7 29% 74–75 ✗
California Baptist @ UC Riverside -0.9 134.0 46% 70–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Alabama A&M -5.0 152.9 31% 88–72 ✓
SMU @ Florida State +2.4 139.3 57% 68–57 ✗
Green Bay @ Oklahoma +18.9 137.0 89% 47–81 ✓
Georgia State @ BYU +26.3 152.1 91% 54–86 ✓
Weber State @ Wyoming +2.3 133.1 58% 84–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Utah Tech +10.0 137.1 81% 79–62 ✗
Portland @ Grand Canyon +10.6 148.0 82% 63–91 ✓
Texas Southern @ North Carolina A&T -7.5 138.8 29% 79–85 ✗
NC State @ Tennessee +4.6 147.2 64% 70–79 ✓
Arizona State @ TCU +3.9 149.0 68% 59–79 ✓
South Dakota @ UC Irvine +14.7 145.7 86% 78–121 ✓
Jackson State @ Howard +1.7 150.0 57% 81–74 ✗
Colgate @ Illinois +15.7 140.2 87% 57–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Oregon +2.1 149.0 61% 83–63 ✗
Stony Brook @ Army -0.6 131.7 41% 78–74 ✓
USC @ Auburn +12.5 150.8 86% 75–91 ✓
Alcorn State @ Northern Iowa +15.0 155.8 88% 82–100 ✓
Stetson @ Omaha +2.5 141.7 62% 80–88 ✓
Pepperdine @ Louisville +1.2 145.7 58% 63–85 ✓
Wagner @ Fairfield +6.9 131.9 73% 51–63 ✓
VMI @ Longwood +18.7 135.6 89% 49–68 ✓
Hartford @ Stonehill — — — 44–71 —
UTSA @ Oregon State +7.3 150.7 77% 65–66 ✓
Nebraska @ Kansas State +7.0 150.9 74% 62–46 ✗
UTEP @ Abilene Christian +3.7 135.9 70% 82–88 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Boise State +12.8 133.0 85% 65–88 ✓
North Texas @ Mississippi State +5.1 131.4 69% 54–72 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky -0.5 139.1 45% 85–75 ✓
North Dakota State @ Illinois State +2.8 133.9 65% 65–75 ✓
Louisiana @ McNeese +12.7 140.2 85% 72–74 ✓
Montana @ San José State +5.6 138.4 67% 86–75 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +7.7 145.2 77% 60–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ Missouri +1.8 137.4 54% 93–87 ✗
Idaho @ Stanford +6.5 144.3 74% 64–82 ✓
Howard @ Texas Southern -3.2 141.9 38% 78–79 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa State +30.9 141.6 91% 58–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.