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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 5.7
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington
@
Seattle U
|
+1.3 | 150.5 | 55% | 100–99 | ✗ |
North Carolina A&T
@
Jackson State
|
+7.3 | 151.5 | 79% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Nevada
@
Hawai'i
|
+0.1 | 141.9 | 47% | 72–66 | ✗ |
UL Monroe
@
Jacksonville
|
+4.2 | 142.8 | 70% | 65–75 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
UNC Asheville
|
+11.0 | 149.4 | 84% | 75–79 | ✓ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Charleston
|
+15.2 | 152.6 | 87% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.