The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–6 on winners spread MAE 8.7 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Morgan State @ Campbell +6.7 132.6 73% 76–83 ✓
Oakland @ Michigan State +11.6 136.6 82% 62–79 ✓
Bradley @ Duquesne +3.8 142.0 67% 67–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Marist +16.0 133.0 89% 52–76 ✓
Delaware State @ Wake Forest +15.1 145.3 88% 59–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Holy Cross -6.2 145.8 26% 77–57 ✓
Maine @ UCF +12.1 137.7 84% 51–74 ✓
Murray State @ Little Rock +4.2 153.0 66% 66–80 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Chicago State +6.1 139.2 69% 68–78 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Tarleton State +4.5 132.6 61% 65–62 ✗
UT Martin @ Evansville +9.2 166.2 81% 91–98 ✓
Southern Miss @ Lamar +5.8 151.3 69% 82–79 ✗
UC San Diego @ Sacramento State -0.5 136.6 51% 83–52 ✓
Portland State @ Fresno State +0.5 137.4 53% 75–72 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Cal Poly +2.5 149.3 61% 62–53 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Loyola Marymount +15.3 136.1 88% 56–76 ✓
Hampton @ Bowling Green +13.9 143.3 88% 65–75 ✓
Samford @ Valparaiso -5.6 147.0 28% 79–61 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Georgia Southern +0.5 139.8 45% 53–42 ✗
The Citadel @ Notre Dame +3.3 131.6 60% 65–45 ✗
Niagara @ Binghamton +10.2 151.0 83% 69–74 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +11.3 154.8 86% 64–74 ✓
Morehead State @ Indiana +6.6 141.4 75% 68–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.