Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | IU -800 MORE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | IU -6.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -8.2 (-7.2) | 139.2 (-2.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -6.1 (-5.1) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -6.6 (-5.6) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -7.0 (-6.0) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | IU 88 – 53 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#125) | 0.7 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#44) | 1.07 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#53) | 1.09 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#67) | 0.568 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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