I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · December 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -9.0 Away covered
O/U 138.0 Over
Money CAM -440 / MORG +335
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +7 159 Won
Massey CAM -10.8 (-3.8)
Massey Totals 133.6 (+25.4)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 72%
Baseline Plus ML CAM -6.0 (+1.0) 131.7 (+27.3) 74%
Baseline ML CAM -6.7 (+0.3) 132.6 (+26.4) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -6.0 (+1.0) 133.2 (+25.8) 74%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -6.6 (+0.4) 132.2 (+26.8) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 15, 2024 MORG 8676 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM MORG
Overall 14-18 11-20
Conference 8-10 7-7
Home 11-6 8-5
Away 3-11 3-12
Neutral 0-1 0-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.0 69.8
Avg Pts Against 73.9 80.0
Massey -7.5 (#300) -13.7 (#351)
Bradley-Terry -2.41 (#332) -2.48 (#334)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.19 (#327) -3.04 (#325)
RPI 0.375 (#347) 0.428 (#289)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM MORG
FG% 42.0% 41.5%
3PT% 28.6% 31.6%
REB / G 30.9 31.7
OREB / G 7.2 9.9
AST / TO 0.73 0.72
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 46.0%
TOV% 21.7% 19.6%
ORB% 23.9% 26.0%
FT Rate 26.6% 16.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 56.8%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 17.3%
DRB% 67.5% 61.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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