Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MORG +195 CAM -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -10.1 (+20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -7.0 (+17.0) | 142.6 (+19.4) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -5.9 (+15.9) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -6.8 (+16.8) | 144.3 (+17.7) | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -7.3 (+17.3) | 141.5 (+20.5) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | CAM 83 – 76 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -17.9 (#359) | -3.4 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.53 (#359) | -1.68 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.50 (#358) | -1.43 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.292 (#364) | 0.392 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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