Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -1700 DETM +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +20 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -17.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -13.9 (+6.1) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -13.9 (+6.1) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -15.3 (+4.7) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -14.1 (+5.9) | 135.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 1-19 |
| Home | 8-8 | 1-11 |
| Away | 2-7 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#154) | -11.9 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#216) | -3.19 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#210) | -4.17 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#240) | 0.417 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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