Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -1000 HAMP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -16.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -11.9 (-1.9) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -13.6 (-3.6) | 143.4 (-3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -13.9 (-3.9) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -14.2 (-4.2) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | BGSU 86 – 72 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#172) | -12.2 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#171) | -2.77 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#187) | -3.62 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#218) | 0.360 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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