Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +130 BGSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -0.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.5 (-12.5) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.3 (-15.3) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -1.6 (-15.6) | 145.9 (+12.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -1.3 (-15.3) | 147.4 (+10.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2023 | BGSU 75 – 65 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#333) | -5.6 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#278) | -1.10 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#269) | -1.82 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#291) | 0.431 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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