I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
LJVM Coliseum · December 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WAKE -19.5 Home covered
O/U 140.0 Over
Money WAKE -4500 / DSU +1550
Model Predictions
Spread Total WAKE win
Actual WAKE +29 147 Won
Massey WAKE -16.4 (+12.6) — —
Massey Totals — 148.8 (-1.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WAKE -17.5 (+11.5) 145.6 (+1.4) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WAKE -16.0 (+13.0) 147.1 (-0.1) 88% ✓
Baseline ML WAKE -15.1 (+13.9) 145.3 (+1.7) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WAKE -15.9 (+13.1) 147.6 (-0.6) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2020 WAKE 111 – 51 DSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WAKE DSU
Overall 21-14 15-19
Conference 11-9 6-8
Home 17-2 7-5
Away 2-9 4-11
Neutral 2-3 4-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.1 68.4
Avg Pts Against 70.7 71.4
Massey 6.6 (#76) -5.2 (#268)
Bradley-Terry 0.73 (#122) -1.08 (#274)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#100) -1.55 (#279)
RPI 0.552 (#95) 0.431 (#285)
Shooting & Four Factors WAKE DSU
FG% 47.8% 42.0%
3PT% 36.1% 29.7%
REB / G 34.6 34.1
OREB / G 8.6 11.4
AST / TO 1.10 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 45.3%
TOV% 15.6% 21.9%
ORB% 26.8% 33.3%
FT Rate 25.4% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 22.6%
DRB% 70.3% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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